Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.005425 0.005989 0.006571 0.007217 0.007912 0.008637 0.009449
2025-02-23 0.004467 0.005264 0.006130 0.007136 0.008269 0.009500 0.010936
2025-03-02 0.003926 0.004853 0.005896 0.007148 0.008601 0.010227 0.012174
2025-03-09 0.003651 0.004693 0.005900 0.007387 0.009157 0.011181 0.013656
2025-03-16 0.003353 0.004468 0.005794 0.007467 0.009501 0.011874 0.014828
2025-03-23 0.003137 0.004318 0.005756 0.007609 0.009906 0.012630 0.016074
2025-03-30 0.002963 0.004203 0.005746 0.007772 0.010327 0.013403 0.017344
2025-04-06 0.002678 0.003922 0.005506 0.007628 0.010350 0.013679 0.018005
2025-04-13 0.002489 0.003753 0.005395 0.007634 0.010553 0.014170 0.018928
2025-04-20 0.002271 0.003529 0.005197 0.007514 0.010582 0.014436 0.019567
2025-04-27 0.002104 0.003361 0.005064 0.007469 0.010699 0.014807 0.020337
2025-05-04 0.001953 0.003209 0.004941 0.007428 0.010814 0.015172 0.021098
2025-05-11 0.001874 0.003157 0.004961 0.007587 0.011209 0.015919 0.022382
2025-05-18 0.001723 0.002992 0.004811 0.007504 0.011273 0.016233 0.023110
2025-05-25 0.001614 0.002881 0.004732 0.007516 0.011461 0.016709 0.024053
2025-06-01 0.001582 0.002886 0.004821 0.007765 0.011981 0.017635 0.025605
2025-06-08 0.001507 0.002818 0.004796 0.007848 0.012266 0.018248 0.026746
2025-06-15 0.001454 0.002782 0.004817 0.007996 0.012645 0.018991 0.028069
2025-06-22 0.001410 0.002758 0.004854 0.008166 0.013055 0.019782 0.029468
2025-06-29 0.001293 0.002603 0.004682 0.008015 0.012999 0.019923 0.029980
2025-07-06 0.001220 0.002520 0.004616 0.008022 0.013167 0.020378 0.030925
2025-07-13 0.001124 0.002390 0.004469 0.007897 0.013137 0.020550 0.031478
2025-07-20 0.001052 0.002295 0.004375 0.007850 0.013219 0.020878 0.032249